Solar Storm Forecast – March 20, 2019 at 07:59PM


UPDATE: Part of the filament I talk about did erupt after I posted this video! We could have a part-Earth directed solar storm coming by the end of this week! Check my twitter feed for the latest on arrival time!

Original Video Description:
This week we are coming down from a solar storm from some fast solar wind, but that doesn’t mean the fun is over! We have two fast-growing sunspots on the Earth-facing Sun and they are sandwiching a filament that is growing more unstable by the day. If this filament erupts within the next day or so, we could have an Earth-directed solar storm! We are keeping a close watch on this to be sure. Also, one of the new sunspots may be showing signs of an influence of solar cycle 25. Just like the previous rogue sunspot we saw a few weeks ago, this new region has a dominant magnetic signature that runs north-south instead of east-west. Its too early to tell what the final polarity of this region will be, but if it continues this way, it will be yet another signal that solar cycle 25 is closer than we think! Learn the details of this filament sandwich, get the scoop on the two new sunspots that may cause its launch, and see what else our Sun has in store for us this week!

 

 

 

 

For a more in-depth look at the data and images highlighted in this video see these links below.

Solar Imaging and Analysis:
SDO: http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/data/
Helioviewer: http://www.helioviewer.org/
Flare Analysis: http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/
Computer Aided CME Tracking CACTUS: http://www.sidc.oma.be/cactus/out/latestCMEs.html
GOES Xray: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/xray_1m.html
SOHO: http://sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov/
Stereo: http://stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov/
GONG magnetic field synoptic movie: https://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/standard_movie.html
GONG magnetic field synoptic charts: http://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/
LMSAL Heliophysics Events HEK http://www.lmsal.com/isolsearch

Solar Wind:
DISCOVR solar wind: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/real-time-solar-wind
ACE Solar Wind: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/ace-real-time-solar-wind
NASA ENLIL SPIRAL: https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/IswaSystemWebApp/iSWACygnetStreamer?timestamp=2038-01-23 +00%3A44%3A00&window=-1&cygnetId=261
NOAA ENLIL SPIRAL: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/wsa-enlil-solar-wind-prediction

Magnetosphere, Ionosphere, Atmosphere:
GOES Magnetometer: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/goes-magnetometer
Ionosphere D-Region Absorption (DRAP) model: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap/
Auroral Oval Ovation Products: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/aurora-30-minute-forecast
Global 3-hr Kp index: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/planetary-k-index
Wing Kp index prediction: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/wing-kp
USGS Ground Magnetometers: http://geomag.usgs.gov/realtime/
USGS Disturbance Storm-Time (Dst): http://geomag.usgs.gov/realtime/dst/
NAIRAS Radiation Storm Model: http://sol.spacenvironment.net/raps_ops/current_files/globeView.html

Multi-Purpose Space Environment Sites:
Spaceweather: http://spaceweather.com
iSWA: http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/iswa/iSWA.html

Credit: TamithaSkov

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