Solar Storm Forecast – June 27, 2019 at 09:05PM


This episode of Space Weather News sponsored in part by 3ric Johanson: http://instagram.com/scubist

Our Sun may be quiet, but Space Weather is not! This past week we had a meteor (bolide) explode over the skies near Puerto Rico in a spectacle equivalent to a 3-5 kiloton detonation! The size of this meteor was about the same as the meteor that created the new impact crater on Mars so that should give us all pause. On top of that, there is going to be a total solar eclipse over the South Pacific and South America on July 2nd. Be sure to watch your skies if you are in the region and check online, live solar telescope feeds, if you arent! If you are a radio communicator or use GPS/GNSS and are in the path of totality on July 2, you might experience some glitches in your comms or reception as the moon’s shadow passes over you, so be aware. As for the weather from our star, the solar wind will likely remain disturbed over the next few days, but it should be minor. Also, some bright regions return to Earth view here in the next few days so radio propagation could bump back to the low end of marginal on Earth’s dayside. Learn the details of this week’s events. I have included links to the predictions of the solar corona for the eclipse from my colleagues at Predictive Science Inc. as well as links to the fantastic field reporting of the meteor blast near Puerto Rico, below.

For a more in-depth look at the data and images highlighted in this video see these links below.

Predictive Science Eclipse Predictions:
http://www.predsci.com/corona/jul2019eclipse/pb.php
http://www.predsci.com/corona/jul2019eclipse/home.php

Field Reporting for the Meteor:
Frankie Lucena:
https://twitter.com/frankie57pr/status/1143323684406534146
Peter Brown:
https://twitter.com/pgbrown/status/1143264346837082112
Ernesto Guido:
https://twitter.com/comets77/status/1143546624532275201
YE Quanzhi:
https://twitter.com/Yeqzids/status/1143275764118253569
ATLAS Project:
https://twitter.com/fallingstarIfA/status/1143700124226347008

Solar Imaging and Analysis:
SDO: http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/data/
Helioviewer: http://www.helioviewer.org/
Flare Analysis: http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/
Computer Aided CME Tracking CACTUS: http://www.sidc.oma.be/cactus/out/latestCMEs.html
GOES Xray: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/xray_1m.html
SOHO: http://sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov/
Stereo: http://stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov/
GONG magnetic field synoptic movie: https://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/standard_movie.html
GONG magnetic field synoptic charts: http://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/
LMSAL Heliophysics Events HEK http://www.lmsal.com/isolsearch

Solar Wind:
DISCOVR solar wind: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/real-time-solar-wind
ACE Solar Wind: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/ace-real-time-solar-wind
NASA ENLIL SPIRAL: https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/IswaSystemWebApp/iSWACygnetStreamer?timestamp=2038-01-23 +00%3A44%3A00&window=-1&cygnetId=261
NOAA ENLIL SPIRAL: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/wsa-enlil-solar-wind-prediction

Magnetosphere, Ionosphere, Atmosphere:
GOES Magnetometer: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/goes-magnetometer
Ionosphere D-Region Absorption (DRAP) model: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap/
Auroral Oval Ovation Products: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/aurora-30-minute-forecast
Global 3-hr Kp index: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/planetary-k-index
Wing Kp index prediction: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/wing-kp
USGS Ground Magnetometers: http://geomag.usgs.gov/realtime/
USGS Disturbance Storm-Time (Dst): http://geomag.usgs.gov/realtime/dst/
NAIRAS Radiation Storm Model: http://sol.spacenvironment.net/raps_ops/current_files/globeView.html

Multi-Purpose Space Environment Sites:
NOAA/SWPC: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov
SOLARHAM: http://www.solarham.net/index.htm
Spaceweather: http://spaceweather.com
iSWA: http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/iswa/iSWA.html

Definition of Geomagnetic Storm, Radiation Storm, and Radio Blackout Levels:
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/NOAAscales/

Images c/o NASA/ESA/CSA (most notably the superb SDO, SOHO, ACE, STEREO, CCMC, JPL & DSN teams, amazing professionals, hobbyists, institutions, organizations, agencies and amateurs such as those at the USAF/HAARP, NICT, NOAA, USGS, Environment Canada, Natural Resources Canada, Intellicast, Catatania, rice.edu, wisc.edu, sonoma.edu ucalgary.ca, rssi.ru, ohio-state.edu, solen.info, and more.

 

Credit: TamithaSkov

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