Solar Storm Forecast – April 10, 2019 at 09:35PM


This week old region region 2736 (renumbered 2738) returns to Earth view, giving the solar flux a much needed boost. This means radio propagation returns to the high side of marginal for amateur, shortwave radio & emergency operators on Earth’s dayside. Luckily, this monster region is not a threat for big flares or radio blackouts so GPS users should continue to enjoy decent reception, especially on Earth’s dayside. Aurora photographers at “High-Latitudes” also get another brief chance for aurora views this week due to another small pocket of fast solar wind expected around April 12-13. On top of that, we have had some very strange lights in the sky recently due to a NASA rocket mission to study aurora (called AZURE). Learn the details of these stories, what conditions to expect and what else our Sun has in store this week.

For early access to these forecasts join me at:

 

 

 

For a more in-depth look at the data and images highlighted in this video see these links below.

AZURE Science Team:
Dr. Miguel Larsen– Principal Investigator on AZURE rocket and tracer release ampules
Dr Jim Hecht– Principal Investigator of AZURE photometers
Dr. Colby Lemon– co-Investigator of AZURE photometers
Dr. Don Hampton & Jason Ahms– optical observation from Alomar Observatory.

AZURE Rocket Mission Aurora Movies:
Adrien Madruit, Senja, Norway: https://twitter.com/ADphotography24/status/1114345332731797504
Jason Ahms, Alomar Observatory, North Norway: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YD4ghvmREI8

Solar Imaging and Analysis:
SDO: http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/data/
Helioviewer: http://www.helioviewer.org/
Flare Analysis: http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/
Computer Aided CME Tracking CACTUS: http://www.sidc.oma.be/cactus/out/latestCMEs.html
GOES Xray: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/xray_1m.html
SOHO: http://sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov/
Stereo: http://stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov/
GONG magnetic field synoptic movie: https://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/standard_movie.html
GONG magnetic field synoptic charts: http://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/
LMSAL Heliophysics Events HEK http://www.lmsal.com/isolsearch

Solar Wind:
DISCOVR solar wind: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/real-time-solar-wind
ACE Solar Wind: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/ace-real-time-solar-wind
NASA ENLIL SPIRAL: https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/IswaSystemWebApp/iSWACygnetStreamer?timestamp=2038-01-23 +00%3A44%3A00&window=-1&cygnetId=261
NOAA ENLIL SPIRAL: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/wsa-enlil-solar-wind-prediction

Magnetosphere, Ionosphere, Atmosphere:
GOES Magnetometer: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/goes-magnetometer
Ionosphere D-Region Absorption (DRAP) model: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap/
Auroral Oval Ovation Products: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/aurora-30-minute-forecast
Global 3-hr Kp index: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/planetary-k-index
Wing Kp index prediction: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/wing-kp
USGS Ground Magnetometers: http://geomag.usgs.gov/realtime/
USGS Disturbance Storm-Time (Dst): http://geomag.usgs.gov/realtime/dst/
NAIRAS Radiation Storm Model: http://sol.spacenvironment.net/raps_ops/current_files/globeView.html

Multi-Purpose Space Environment Sites:
NOAA/SWPC: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov
SOLARHAM: http://www.solarham.net/index.htm
Spaceweather: http://spaceweather.com
iSWA: http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/iswa/iSWA.html

Definition of Geomagnetic Storm, Radiation Storm, and Radio Blackout Levels:
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/NOAAscales/

 

Images c/o NASA/ESA/CSA (most notably the superb SDO, SOHO, ACE, STEREO, CCMC, JPL & DSN teams, amazing professionals, hobbyists, institutions, organizations, agencies and amateurs such as those at the USAF/HAARP, NICT, NOAA, USGS, Environment Canada, Natural Resources Canada, Intellicast, Catatania, rice.edu, wisc.edu, sonoma.edu ucalgary.ca, rssi.ru, ohio-state.edu, solen.info, and more.

 

Credit: TamithaSkov

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